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US chicken exports to rise, but avian flu to dampen China imports

US POULTRY exporters expect a four per cent increase in broiler chicken exports this year - the bulk of the output - in line with US Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts, though demand from China may be dampened by an outbreak of avian flu in Tennessee.

"The response from our trading partners has been much more measured this time," said Jim Sumner, president of the USA Poultry and Egg Export Council.



Several other poultry producers, including China and the European Union, also have been affected by avian influenza, in some cases more severely than the United States. 



The four per cent expected increase includes exports to Mexico and Canada, the top two consumers of US poultry. The USDA forecasts that overall broiler exports from the European Union will decline eight per cent this year, to 1.2 million tons.



Containerised exports of US poultry rose 3.3 per cent year on year through May after an 8.5 per cent increase in 2016 to 165,738 TEU, according to PIERS data.



But volume has not returned since the 18.7 per cent decline in 2015 during the big avian flu scare resulted in total bans on US exports. Last year's US exports were 16 per cent below their 2012 total of 197,936 TEU. 
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